VICTORIA, Texas-: Tonight: Partly cloudy skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay above average. Low: 64 degrees. Winds: S 10-15/G20 mph. A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Saturday: Mostly sunny skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay above average. High: 82 degrees. Winds: SW 5-15 mph. A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Saturday Night: Mostly clear skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay above average. Low: 64 degrees. Winds: S 5-10 mph. A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog after 3 am.
Sunday: Mostly sunny skies with breezy windy winds while temperatures stay above average. High: 81 degrees. Winds: S 5-15/G20 mph. A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms. Patchy for before 9 am.
Sunday Night: Partly cloudy skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay above average. Low: 65 degrees. Winds: S 10-15 mph. A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Extended Forecast: Monday through Saturday:
Monday: Mostly sunny skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay above average. High: 82/65 degrees. Winds: S 10-15/G20 mph. A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay above average. High: 81/67 degrees. Winds: S 15-20/G25 mph. A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Wednesday: Partly sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay above average. High: 81/64 degrees. Winds: SW 10 mph. A 20% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Thursday: Partly cloudy skies with light winds while temperatures stay above average. High: 80/66 degrees. Winds: SE 10 mph. A 20% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Friday: Partly cloudy skies (AM clouds PM sun ) with light winds while temperatures stay above average. High: 80/68 degrees. Winds: SE 10 mph. A 20% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay above average. High 80/62 degrees. Winds S 15. A 20% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Synopsis: High pressure over the western Mexico coast will be moving west to east over the rest of the forecast period. This will keep airflow from west to east across South Texas.
A strengthening low-pressure system over the High Plains (through Friday) will allow for the low-level moisture to continue to move (and to increase) up from the Gulf (south) with more consistency, while moisture levels increase to near 1″ by Friday morning.
This moisture return will still be relatively on the low side (around 1″), combined with minimal weather variables that should not create enough lift, will allow for the rainless conditions to continue through much of the forecast period.
A strengthening low-pressure system over the High Plains will alter the atmospheric pressure (making it change quickly over a short distance) which in turn has spiked up the winds across South Texas. Winds will lessen a bit overnight and that could be enough for some fog development due to the combination of lighter winds and dry air in the mid to upper levels, as well as the quick cooling overnight.
Winds will be the lightest inland, plus the difference between ambient and dewpoint temperatures will be the closest (within 1-3 degrees) there as well, thus allowing for the best chances for fog on Thursday night as well as Friday night.
Temperatures the rest of the forecast period will range between 10-15 degrees above average as highs range from the upper 70’s to the mid 80’s (further west) while lows only drop down in between the upper 50’s and the mid 60’s.
In the long term for the extended period, days 3 to 7, Saturday through Thursday, a ridge of high-pressure (upper level) will remain stretched out from northeast Mexico and South Texas into the western Gulf of Mexico over the Christmas weekend. This weather dimension will allow for temperatures to stay in the 80’s during the day and for temperatures only falling into the 60’s overnight. Warm air pushing up from the Gulf could allow for record temperatures by Sunday (the day after Christmas).
The strengthening low-pressure system over the High Plains on Sunday will lead to breezy conditions along the South Texas coast while the moisture levels will allow for fog development further inland Saturday and Sunday morning.
The high-pressure system (upper level) southwest of Texas will move to the east into the eastern Gulf of Mexico Monday and east of Florida by Wednesday.
There are storms (troughs) on the West for Monday that will move through the Rocky Mountains by Tuesday. Storm energy will push to the northeast from the Rocky Mountains by Wednesday and into the Great Lakes region.
The trough out west will develop into a low-pressure system off the coast of California on Thursday. A cold front is headed toward Texas on Thursday but could end up stalling to the north of South Texas and allowing for the warm weather to continue through the rest of the year.
This warm weather could bring record high temperatures on Tuesday while moisture could bring some streamer showers Tuesday night into Wednesday along the coast but more than likely the area looks to stay on the dry side until after the new year.
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