VictoriaTexas-: Today: Cloudy skies with light winds while temperatures stay below average. High: 47 degrees. Winds: N 10 mph. A 40% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Thursday Night: Cloudy skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay below average. Low: 37 degrees. Winds: N 10-20/G25 mph. 60% chance of scattered showers and possible thunderstorms after Midnight.
Friday: Cloudy skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay below average. High: 48 degrees. winds: N 15/G25 mph. A 40% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms mainly before Noon.
Friday Night: Cloudy skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay around average. Low: 44 degrees. Winds: NE 10-15/G20 mph. 30% chance of scattered showers and possible thunderstorms after Midnight.
Extended Forecast: Saturday through Thursday:
Saturday: Cloudy skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay below average. High: 53/44 degrees. winds: N 10-15/G20 mph. A 60% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Sunday: Partly sunny skies with breezy winds while temperatures stay below average. High: 59/41 degrees. Winds: N 15/G20 mph. A 20% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms before Noon.
Monday: Mostly sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay below average. high: 66/45 degrees. Winds: NE 10 mph. A 10% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Tuesday: Partly sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average. High: 70/48 degrees. Winds: E 10 mph. A 20% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average. High: 72/50 degrees. winds: NE 10 mph. A 20% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Thursday: Partly cloudy skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay above average. High: 77/54 degrees. winds: SE 15 mph. A 20% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms before Noon.
Synopsis: Wednesday nights drizzle tapered off last night and Thursday looks to be a dry day with the exception of more drizzle along the coast and more trace amounts of rain inland as well. These locations have the most moisture as well as cooler air undercutting warmer air and lifting it to create the showers. Wednesday night into Thursday morning, temperatures will drop into the mid to upper 30’s (warmer near the coast, 40 degrees). Thursday will stay cool with highs in the 50’s and 60’s away from the water.
Rain chances increase again Thursday night into Friday morning as moisture increases from the south (Gulf) and the cooler air moving down from the north once again continues to undercut the warmer Gulf air at the 300 mb/30,000 feet level and lifting it to create the showers. Thursday’s low temperature will drop back down into the mid to upper 30’s (warmer near the coast, 40 degrees).
For the long-term period, Friday through Wednesday, high pressure will keep pulling cool air down from the north pretty much right through the weekend.
The high-pressure system should start pulling away from the area by Monday. Cooler air moves down at the 850 mb/5,000 feet level on Friday keeping temperatures again on the cool/cold side.
Low-level as well as upper-level warm air will move out of the south, again getting undercut by the cooler air out of north through the weekend. This weather dynamic will keep light showers, and drizzle chances through Sunday.
This (undercutting) becomes more pronounced on Friday as winds increase out of the south. Then on Saturday a disturbance will push through South Texas (trough). This movement will provide more lift along the coast on Saturday, but the dynamics become less favorable in the western portions of the viewing area. The undercutting becomes less pronounced further west, so rain chances stay alive along the coast on Saturday.
Rain chances will decrease on Sunday as the trough pulls out of the area, and sinking air moves in (high pressure drops down from the north) behind the boundary and starts to dry the region out.
Temperatures should remain above freezing (at night) Friday into Saturday with a return of sunshine on Sunday as high pressure moves closer to clear the skies in the area. Temperatures should start too warm after Friday.
COPYRIGHT 2022 BY CROSSROADS TODAY. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. THIS MATERIAL MAY NOT BE PUBLISHED, BROADCAST, REWRITTEN OR REDISTRIBUTED.