Here’s how things are shaping up.
x-clinched playoff berth; y-clinched division title; z-clinched conference top seed
AFC
1. z-Kansas City Chiefs (14-1, AFC West champion)
The Chiefs clinched the AFC’s top seed and the conference’s only first-round bye with a win over the Falcons on Sunday.
2. y-Buffalo Bills (12-3, AFC East champion)
Key tiebreaker: head-to-head victory over the Steelers
The Bills will clinch the No. 2 seed with a win over the Dolphins, or a Steelers loss, or a tie plus a Steelers tie.
3. y-Pittsburgh Steelers (12-3, AFC North champion)
The Steelers will clinch the No. 2 seed with a win over the Browns plus a Bills tie, or a win/tie plus a Bills loss.
4. Tennessee Titans (10-5, AFC South leader)
Key tiebreaker: better division record than Colts
The Titans will clinch the AFC South title with a win over the Texans, or a Colts loss, or a tie plus a Colts tie. Tennessee will clinch a playoff berth most easily with a Dolphins loss or a Ravens loss.
Key tiebreaker: better conference record than the Ravens and the Colts
The Dolphins most easily will clinch a playoff berth with a win over the Bills, or with losses by either the Ravens, Browns or Colts.
6. Baltimore Ravens (10-5)
Key tiebreakers: head-to-head sweep of Browns, head-to-head victory over Colts
The Ravens most easily will clinch a playoff berth with a win over the Bengals, or with losses by either the Browns or Colts.
7. Cleveland Browns (10-5)
Key tiebreaker: head-to-head victory over the Colts
The Browns most easily will clinch a playoff berth with a win over the Steelers, or a Colts loss, or a Titans loss plus a Dolphins win/tie plus a Ravens win/tie.
Still in the AFC hunt
8. Indianapolis Colts (10-5)
The Colts will clinch the AFC South Division title with a win over the Jaguars plus a Titans loss/tie, or a tie plus a Titans loss. Indianapolis most easily will clinch a playoff berth with a win plus losses or ties by either the Ravens, Browns or Dolphins.
Eliminated
9. Las Vegas Raiders (7-8); 10. New England Patriots (6-9); 11. Los Angeles Chargers (6-9); 12. Denver Broncos (5-10); 13. Cincinnati Bengals (4-10-1); 14. Houston Texans (4-11); 15. New York Jets (2-13); 16. Jacksonville Jaguars (1-14).
NFC
1. y-Green Bay Packers (12-3, NFC North champion)
The Packers will clinch the NFC’s top seed and only first-round bye with a win or tie against the Bears, or a Seahawks loss/tie.
2. y-New Orleans Saints (11-4, NFC South champion)
Key tiebreaker: better conference record than the Seahawks
The Saints will clinch the NFC’s top seed and only first-round bye with a win over the Panthers, plus a Packers loss and a Seahawks win.
3. y-Seattle Seahawks (11-4, NFC West champion)
The Seahawks will clinch the NFC’s top seed and only first-round bye with a win over the 49ers, plus a Packers loss and a Saints loss/tie.
4. Washington Football Team (6-9, NFC East leader)
Key tiebreaker: season sweep of the Cowboys
Washington will clinch the NFC East title with a win over the Eagles, or a tie plus a Cowboys loss/tie.
5. x-Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10-5, NFC wild card)
The Bucs have clinched a playoff berth and will be either the No. 5 or No. 6 seed.
6. Los Angeles Rams (9-6)
The Rams will clinch a playoff berth with a win or tie against the Cardinals, or a Bears loss/tie.
Key tiebreaker: better record vs. common opponents than Cardinals
The Bears will clinch a playoff berth with a win over the Packers, or a Cardinals loss, or a tie plus a Cardinals tie.
Still in the hunt
8. Arizona Cardinals (8-7)
The Cardinals will clinch a playoff berth with a win over the Rams, or a tie plus a Bears loss.
The Cowboys will clinch the NFC East title with a win over the Giants plus a WFT loss/tie, or a tie plus a WFT loss.
13. New York Giants (5-10)
The Giants will clinch the NFC East title with a win over the Cowboys plus a WFT loss.
Eliminated
10. Minnesota Vikings (6-9); 11. San Francisco 49ers (6-9); 12. Detroit Lions (5-10); 14. Carolina Panthers (5-10); 15. Philadelphia Eagles (4-10-1); 16. Atlanta Falcons (4-11).