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Home Science & Environment Climate Change

‘Scare tactics’ and uncertainty: What Trump’s offshore…

January 22, 2025
in Climate Change
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Attentive Energy Two and another New Jersey project named Atlantic Shores North are among the nation’s seven projects now frozen in Trump’s permitting pipeline. Leading Light is still in early development and therefore also unlikely to advance under Trump. That leaves only the Atlantic Shores South Projects 1 and 2, with a total planned capacity of 2.8 GW, that can deliver wind power to New Jersey on schedule.

“I remain committed to advancing my administration’s environmental and clean energy priorities, which have remained constant for the last seven years,” New Jersey Gov. Murphy told Canary Media in response to Trump’s offshore wind executive order on Monday. ​“New Jersey will explore all available options to protect the health of our environment and residents while bolstering energy independence, creating good-paying American jobs, lowering energy bills, and growing New Jersey’s innovation economy.”

It’s unclear how the state will achieve its goal of a 100 percent carbon-free grid by 2035 given the centrality of offshore wind to those plans and possible delays from Trump’s actions.

Other states face even more uncertainty.

North Carolina has set targets to procure 2.4 GW of offshore wind by 2030, but its first major project — Kitty Hawk North — is also now stuck in the permitting pipeline. Permitting was slated for completion in 2028. If Trump’s freeze endures for the rest of his administration, the project might not secure all 10 of its federal permits until 2032. The office of North Carolina Gov. Josh Stein, a Democrat, did not respond to a request for comment.

These kinds of worst-case scenarios, though only possibilities, are already having an impact on the market.

Ørsted’s shares plummeted 17 percent after Trump signed the executive order, according to Reuters. In total, Denmark’s Ørsted is the named lessee or parent company for eight commercial-scale wind projects in various stages of development along the East Coast. After years of favorable U.S. prospects for wind under President Biden, the company warned investors on Monday of higher costs and delays under Trump’s policies.

Key industry groups called out the incongruity of Trump’s order against wind, which was signed alongside other orders to ramp up domestic energy production under a so-called ​“energy emergency.”

“The contradiction between the energy-focused Executive Orders is stark: while on one hand the Administration seeks to reduce bureaucracy and unleash energy production, on the other it increases bureaucratic barriers, undermining domestic energy development and harming American businesses and workers,” said Jason Grumet, the CEO of the American Clean Power Association, in a statement released immediately after Trump signed the order.

Is this a ​“first step”?

Donald Trump said the U.S. is ​“going to have a policy where no windmills are being built” during a press conference earlier this month at his Mar-a-Lago resort. His executive order will not achieve that. Still, his follow-through on a Day One promise buoyed offshore wind opponents who have been demonstrating in the streets, submitting their policy wish lists to Trump’s team, and filing numerous lawsuits against projects.

On Saturday, the anti-wind group REACT Alliance led protests — one in California, one in New York — calling for the suspension of all offshore wind development. Mandy Davis, protest co- organizer and head of the National Offshore-Wind Opposition Alliance, told Canary Media that she and other opponents sent their own draft executive order to Trump’s team last week that included a ​“stop work” order on all federally permitted wind projects.

“We look at this initial executive order as a really good first step in fighting offshore wind,” said Davis. She said that Trump ​“is hearing us loud and clear,” but acknowledged that halting all offshore wind operations and plans in America is ​“complex and may take awhile.”

Other anti-wind groups are amplifying the call for a more aggressive policy stance against wind.

“We are encouraged by President Trump’s executive order and urge him to stop existing [offshore wind] projects already permitted, because those approvals were granted in violation of federal law,” said Mark Herr, a spokesperson for the New England–based anti-wind advocacy group Green Oceans.

The group has brought two lawsuits against the federal government, pending in federal court, over permitting for the South Fork and Revolution Wind projects. Both are managed by Ørsted.

Herr said he felt encouraged that Trump’s executive order contained language about these and the dozens of other federal lawsuits that anti-wind groups have brought against planned, permitted, and operating U.S. offshore wind projects. The order gives the attorney general ​“discretion” to request that courts ​“stay the litigation or otherwise delay further litigation, or seek other appropriate relief.”

“I think that’s kind of a nothing burger,” said Squillace, the law professor and former Interior official, when asked about the order’s language advising the Department of Justice to consider settling these anti-wind lawsuits rather than defending the projects against them.

“If the federal government is sued, settling is always an option. You don’t need an executive order to do that,” he said, suggesting that the language is there more for show.

Meanwhile, some analysts cast doubt over how much of the executive order will stand up in general, citing the low success rate of Trump’s previous executive orders when challenged by litigation and other resistance.

“I think this projection of powers they don’t have is a scare tactic … to scare investors, to scare energy companies, to scare proponents of offshore wind to give up,” said Roselund of the Rhode Island pro-wind group. He added: ​“We have no intention of giving up.”

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