The decline comes in the aftermath of Trump’s decision to launch airstrikes against Iranian nuclear facilities. Though a ceasefire between Iran and Israel has since been brokered, tensions remain palpable, and critics argue the action contradicts Trump’s longstanding “America First” rhetoric, which promised to steer clear of entanglements in “endless wars.”
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Middle East Action Sparks Concern Among Republican Ranks
Republican approval is also showing signs of strain. A Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted over the same period found Trump’s approval among GOP voters slipped from 90 to 84 percent. While still a high figure, the drop suggests discomfort with Trump’s recent foreign policy decisions, especially among his MAGA-aligned supporters who had expected a non-interventionist stance.
University College London’s Thomas Gift stated that Trump’s base has grown uneasy, with many feeling that the Iran strikes betray the 2024 campaign promise to avoid foreign conflict. “That promise is starting to ring hollow,” Gift noted, pointing out that figures like Steve Bannon have openly questioned Trump’s motives and the reliability of intelligence used to justify the strike.
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Prominent MAGA Voices Register Dissent
Even among Trump’s most loyal allies, reactions to the Iran strikes have been mixed. Kentucky Representative Thomas Massie called the move unconstitutional, while Marjorie Taylor Greene—though expressing support for U.S. troops—lamented America’s repeated involvement in overseas wars.
Steve Bannon, a vocal figure in Trump’s 2016 rise, warned that this could be the beginning of another prolonged foreign entanglement, directly contradicting Trump’s original MAGA message, as mentioned in a report by Newsweek.
Conservative influencers like Charlie Kirk also flagged potential fallout, noting that many young Donald Trump voters backed him for his refusal to initiate new wars. While some later attempted to strike a patriotic tone, praising the technical success of the strike, the unease lingers.
Polling Reveals Shifting Sentiment on Foreign Involvement
Several public opinion surveys confirm the shifting mood. According to YouGov, only 29 percent of Americans now support airstrikes on Iran, while 46 percent oppose them. Among Trump 2024 voters, only 47 percent agree that the U.S. should play an active role in world affairs, suggesting growing isolationist sentiment within the base.
Though recent J.L. Partners and Washington Post polls indicate that “MAGA Republicans” still largely back Trump’s military actions, experts like G. Elliott Morris caution against overestimating that loyalty. “Partisan alignment often overrides ideology,” he wrote, warning that if Trump continues on this interventionist path, the risk of further alienating his core supporters remains high.
Disconnect Between Voter Priorities and Policy Agenda
Peter Loge of George Washington University attributed the decline to a growing mismatch between Trump’s policies and voter expectations. “People want to afford gas, groceries, healthcare,” he said. “Instead, they see policies that risk making those things worse.”
As Trump’s campaign navigates these turbulent waters, one thing is clear: Donald Trump voters are no longer unified in their faith, and the road to 2028 may require more than rhetoric to restore trust.
FAQs
What recent event has triggered a decline in Donald Trump’s approval ratings?
Trump’s decision to launch airstrikes against Iranian nuclear facilities has led to a noticeable drop in approval among his core voter base and within the broader Republican Party.
How much has Trump’s approval rating fallen among 2024 voters?
According to a YouGov/Economist poll conducted from June 20–23, 2025, his net approval among 2024 Trump voters fell from +80 to +69 points.
