What do the surprising SAG Award nominations mean for the Oscars?
The Screen Actors Guild Awards (SAG Awards) is one of the most reliable indicators of who might get their hands on a shiny Oscar statuette.
Actors who have been nominated for a SAG Award often go on to be nominated for an Oscar.
In some cases, the nominations are bang-on.
Last year, Anthony Hopkins, Riz Ahmed, the late Chadwick Boseman, Gary Oldman and Steven Yeun were all nominated for a SAG Award for best male actor in a leading role.
They went on to receive nominations in the equivalent Oscar category.
Before that, Parasite‘s surprising SAG win helped predict its iconic Oscars sweep in 2020.
The winners may differ between the two ceremonies, but their shared nominees are telling.
A royal snub
First up, we need to talk about Spencer.
From the moment Kristen Stewart’s moody portrayal of the late Princess Diana premiered to a standing ovation at the Venice Film Festival in 2021, critics thought she was a shoo-in for best actress in a leading role.
But Stewart was snubbed by the SAG Awards, throwing doubt over an Oscar nomination.
The SAG Awards opted to nominate Jessica Chastain (The Eyes of Tammy Faye), Olivia Colman (The Lost Daughter), Lady Gaga (House of Gucci), Jennifer Hudson (Respect) and Nicole Kidman (Being the Ricardos) instead.
The Oscars could of course head in a different direction, but Stewart’s snub was still a huge shock.