VICTORIA, Texas-: Tonight: Mostly cloudy skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average. Low: 75 degrees. Winds: SE 5-10 mph turning calm after Midnight. A 20% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Monday: Partly cloudy skies with light winds while temperatures stay slightly below average. High: 93 degrees. Winds: NE 10 mph. A 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Monday Night: Partly cloudy skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average. Low: 76 degrees. Winds: SE 5-10 mph. A 30% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms before 8 pm.
Tuesday : Partly sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay slightly below average. High: 94 degrees. Winds: SE 10 mph. A 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2 pm.
Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy skies with light winds while temperatures stay around average. Low: 77 degrees. Winds: SE 5-10 mph. A 30% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms before 8 pm.
Extended Forecast: Wednesday through Monday:
Wednesday: Partly sunny skies with moderate light winds while temperatures stay around average. High: 95/78 degrees. Winds: SE 15 mph. A 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2 pm.
Thursday: Partly sunny skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay around average. High: 95/77 degrees. Winds: SE 5-15 mph. A 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2 pm.
Friday: Partly sunny skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay around average. High: 96/77 degrees. Winds: SE 15 mph. A 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Saturday: Partly sunny skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay around average. High: 95/77 degrees. Winds: SE 15 mph. A 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Sunday: Partly cloudy skies with moderate winds while temperatures stay slightly below average. High: 93/77 degrees. Winds: SE 15 mph. A 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Monday: Mostly sunny skies with light winds while temperatures stay slightly below average. High: 93/76 degrees. Winds: SE 10 mph. A 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Synopsis: There is a high-pressure ridge sitting over most of the United States and a trough developing over the Plains/Mississippi Valley. This pattern is consistent with the movement of a boundary (currently over Northern Texas).
This boundary will stall over the northern portion of the viewing area late Sunday afternoon/evening. Water values will remain above normal over the Coastal Plains during the period. Normal nighttime convection is expected Sunday night over the waters.
This should lead to isolated/scattered showers (convection) over the Coastal Plains on Sunday, with the greatest chance over the Victoria Crossroads owing to moisture convergence (coming together and getting forced upward) near the approaching boundary.
Maximum heat indices will be 105 to 109 degrees on Sunday.
In the long term for the extended period, days 3 to 7, Monday through Saturday, a trough will drift south across the Midwestern states and will trigger bouts of energy and storms to rotate around the base of the trough. Despite this, hot and humid conditions will continue across South Texas, but chances for rain will increase for the first half of the work week, especially across the Coastal Plains and more toward the Victoria Crossroads.
Mid-level ridging is expected to build back into the region from the Gulf around Thursday, which will gradually diminish rain chances, but isolated showers/storms would remain possible from sufficient lingering moisture, with isolated activity early in the morning over the waters, with slightly less activity moving inland with the sea breeze.
With the ridging in place, temperatures should warm a couple of degrees for the latter half of the week. Heat Index Values through the period will range from 105 to 109 degrees, with values over 110 degrees from Wednesday and onward across much of South Texas.
The main feature to keep an eye on for the long term will be how conditions unfold in the tropics. Fred has restrengthened into a Tropical Storm again in the eastern Gulf of Mexico. This has triggered Storm Surge Warnings for the Florida Panhandle. Fred should make landfall in the western Florida Panhandle Monday afternoon or evening. Meanwhile, tropical storm conditions are expected in the U.S. Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Sunday (today) from Tropical Storm Grace.
While Tropical Storm Fred continues to affect the eastern Gulf, the impact can be felt across the Gulf. The new storm development has brought increased swells that are still expected to reach the Middle Texas Coastal spots Tuesday/Wednesday of next week, which will lead to an increased rip current risk.
Tides will also be entering a high tide cycle during the period, so there will be concern for coastal flooding potential. Any further shifts in the track to the west could bring stronger swells to the region.
COPYRIGHT 2021 BY CROSSROADS TODAY. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. THIS MATERIAL MAY NOT BE PUBLISHED, BROADCAST, REWRITTEN OR REDISTRIBUTED.
Discover more from Today Headline
Subscribe to get the latest posts to your email.