Whether you’re in an office pool that makes picks against NFL spreads or straight-up, the Week 1 schedule is always the toughest to gauge. The offseason saw studs like Matthew Stafford, Julio Jones and Orlando Brown Jr. change teams, but who can you trust with your NFL office pool picks? NFL pick’em players are staring down the barrel of a first week that doesn’t feature a single game with a spread over 7.5 points at Caesars Sportsbook.
Seahawks vs. Colts is one of five games between playoff teams from a season ago, and with Seattle favored by 2.5 in the latest NFL odds, it’s also one of seven games in which a team is favored by a field goal or less. Which teams should you favor as you make your Week 1 NFL pool picks, and how should you allocate points in your NFL confidence pool picks? Before you make your NFL predictions, you need to see the Week 1 NFL football pool picks from SportsLine’s proven model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six years ago. It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. The model also enters the 2021 season on an incredible 120-78 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
More importantly for NFL confidence pool players, the model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports office pool players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has simulated the entire Week 1 2021 NFL schedule 10,000 times and generated its optimal NFL pick’em plays. Go to SportsLine to see them.
Top Week 1 NFL office pool predictions
One of the top Week 1 NFL pick’em predictions from the model: San Francisco cruises past Detroit in a Week 1 matchup. After going 5-11 in 2020, the Lions welcome a new head coach (Dan Campbell) and new general manager (Brad Holmes). They’re now undertaking yet another roster rebuild and lost arguably their top two stars this offseason.
Quarterback Matthew Stafford was traded to the Rams and wide receiver Kenny Golladay signed a four-year, $72 million contract with the Giants during free agency.
While San Francisco was relatively quiet during the offseason, the 49ers are expecting to take a major step forward by being healthier. Nick Bosa, Dee Ford and Jaquiski Tartt should inject life into a defense that ranked fifth in yards allowed, while the offense will also be much improved if Raheem Mostert, Deebo Samuel and George Kittle can stay healthy. That’s why the model has the 49ers winning in well over 70 percent of simulations and predicts a final score of 30-19.
How to make Week 1 NFL office pool picks
The model also made the call on every other Week 1 game and has strong picks for potentially close matchups like Seahawks vs. Colts and Chiefs vs. Browns. It’s also calling for a Super Bowl contender to go down hard. You can only see all of the model’s NFL pool picks here.
So who should you pick in every Week 1 NFL game? And which Super Bowl favorite goes down hard? Visit SportsLine now to get optimal NFL office pool picks, all from the advanced computer model that has ranked in the Top 10 on straight-up picks four of the last five years and went an outstanding 120-78 last season.
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