Rookie quarterbacks will try to reverse their fortunes so far this season when they lead their teams into Week 5 of the NFL schedule. So far this year, five rookie quarterbacks have started games: Trevor Lawrence (Jaguars), Zach Wilson (Jets), Justin Fields (Bears), Mac Jones (Patriots) and Davis Mills (Texans). They are a combined 3-13 with 14 touchdown passes against 24 interceptions. Two of those quarterbacks, Jones and Mills, will meet on Sunday at NRG Stadium. New England is a nine-point favorite in the latest NFL odds from Caesars Sportsbook, but which side should you back with your NFL bets and NFL parlays?
Other key NFL games this week include the Chiefs and Bills battling on Sunday Night Football in a rematch of last season’s AFC Championship Game and the 3-1 Bengals hosting the 3-1 Packers. Before making any Week 5 NFL picks or predictions, you need to check out the NFL best bets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. The model also enters Week 5 of the 2021 season on an incredible 124-82 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has locked in five confident NFL best bets for Week 5. If you successfully parlay its picks, you would be looking at a massive payout of 20-1. You can only see the model’s Week 5 NFL picks at SportsLine.
Top Week 5 NFL picks
After simulating every NFL game 10,000 times, the model is high on the Cardinals to cover as five-point favorites at home against the 49ers. Arizona (4-0) is the NFL’s lone unbeaten team and owns victories over the Titans, Vikings, Jaguars and Rams. San Francisco started the season 2-0 on the road, but has lost back-to-back decisions to the Packers and Seahawks at home.
The Cardinals enter with a significant edge in turnover margin. Arizona has a plus-five margin this season, tied for the third best in the league. San Francisco has a minus-five margin, tied for the third worst in the NFL. The 49ers have forced only one turnover this season.
How to make Week 5 NFL parlays
The model also jumped on four other matchups where it says the line is off, including a divisional battle and a game between two playoff teams from a season ago. You can only see the model’s NFL Week 5 best bets at SportsLine.
What are the model’s top Week 5 NFL picks? And which other matchups should you target for a 20-1 payout? Visit SportsLine now to see the Week 5 NFL best bets from a model on a 124-82 run on its top-rated picks, and find out.
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